Your Metascore Predictions for 30 Summer Movies

  • Publish Date: May 2, 2018
  • Comments: ↓ 4 user comments

Metascore predictions from Metacritic users

For the 9th straight year, we asked our users to predict the final Metascores for 30 of this summer's most notable releases, based only on viewing a trailer and reading a description for each film. Over 4,500 of you did just that, and the aggregate results of your predictions are below.

"Predicted" scores are the median responses from all valid predictions made for each film. The "Actual" scores will update throughout the summer whenever reviews are added for each film.

PosterLife of the Party Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
48

May 11
The latest comedy from the husband-and-wife team of Ben Falcone and Melissa McCarthy is a gender-reversed update of Back to School starring McCarthy as a newly single housewife who returns to college--the same one that her daughter is attending. Maya Rudolph and Gillian Jacobs also star.

PosterBook Club Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
45

May 18
Diane Keaton, Jane Fonda, Candice Bergen, and Mary Steenburgen star as lifelong friends whose lives change after reading 50 Shades of Grey. It's the directorial debut for writer/producer Bill Holderman (A Walk in the Woods).

PosterDeadpool 2 Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
69

May 18
The inevitable sequel to Tim Miller's hit 2016 X-Men spinoff starring Ryan Reynolds as the wisecracking "merc with a mouth" returns much of the cast but finds Atomic Blonde's David Leitch taking over as director. Joining the cast are Josh Brolin, Zazie Beetz, and Terry Crews.

PosterShow Dogs Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
33

May 18
This family comedy blends live-action and animation to depict a world where dogs can think and talk. Will Arnett plays a cop whose canine partner (Ludacris) must go undercover at a dog show. Note that all but one of director Raja Gosnell's prior films scored 41 or lower.

PosterSolo: A Star Wars Story Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
67

May 25
The second stand-alone adventure set in the Star Wars universe centers on a young Han Solo, played by Alden Ehrenreich. Donald Glover (playing Lando Calrissian), Woody Harrelson, Emilia Clarke, and Thandie Newton also star for director Ron Howard, who took over mid-shoot from Phil Lord and Christopher Miller.

PosterAction Point Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
44

June 1
Johnny Knoxville combines a little Bad Grandpa and a lot of Jackass for his new comedy in which he plays the owner of a struggling, low-rent theme park. His strategy for beating his new competitor? Creating the most dangerous amusement park ever.

PosterAdrift Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
60

June 1
Shailene Woodley and Sam Claflin star in this based-on-a-true-story adventure about a couple that sets out on a cross-ocean sailing journey in 1983, only to find themselves in the middle of a severe hurricane. Baltasar Kormákur (Everest, 2 Guns) directs.

PosterOcean's 8 Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
63

June 8
Gary Ross (The Hunger Games) takes over directing duties from Steven Soderbergh (who remains as producer) for the latest caper in the Ocean's series--a spin-off featuring a mostly female cast led by Sandra Bullock, Cate Blanchett, Mindy Kaling, Sarah Paulson, and Anne Hathaway. (Scores of the previous three films: 74, 58, 62.)

PosterThe Incredibles 2 Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
82

June 15
Brad Bird’s sequel to his 2004 Pixar hit The Incredibles picks up immediately after the end of the first film. The Parr family must deal with The Underminer, but they face a bigger challenge when Helen/Elastigirl (Holly Hunter) goes off to save the world, leaving Bob/Mr. Incredible (Craig T. Nelson) in charge of the family. Better Call Saul's Bob Odenkirk and Jonathan Banks join a voice cast that also returns Sarah Vowell and Samuel L. Jackson.

PosterTag Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
60

June 15
Somehow based on a true story, this comedy follows five friends (Ed Helms, Jake Johnson, Hannibal Buress, Jon Hamm, and Jeremy Renner) who have been playing the same game of tag for one month of every year since first grade. This year's game is scheduled during the wedding of the group's only undefeated player, and he’s not ready to give up the crown. It's the feature debut for TV director Jeff Tomsic (Idiotsitter, Broad City).

PosterJurassic World: Fallen Kingdom Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
60

June 22
Juan Antonio Bayona (A Monster Calls) takes over as director for this first of two planned sequels to the record-setting hit (but only so-so) 2015 reboot of the Jurassic Park franchise. Stars Chris Pratt and Bryce Dallas Howard return, as do screenwriters Derek Connolly and Colin Trevorrow.

PosterSicario: Day of the Soldado Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
70

June 29
The director (Denis Villeneuve) and lead actor (Emily Blunt) of 2015’s excellent Sicario are not back for the sequel, but Josh Brolin and Benicio del Toro are, as is screenwriter Taylor Sheridan. Stefano Sollima's film pits Brolin’s Matt Graver and del Toro’s Alejandro against each other after a mission goes bad and Alejandro decides to protect the daughter (Isabela Moner) of a Mexican kingpin.

PosterUncle Drew Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
44

June 29
This basketball comedy about a street ball tournament at Rucker Park stars current and former (W)NBA All-Stars Kyrie Irving, Shaquille O'Neal, Chris Webber, Reggie Miller, Nate Robinson, and Lisa Leslie. Charles Stone III (Drumline) directs.

PosterThe First Purge Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
45

July 4
The fourth film in the increasingly successful Purge horror franchise (previous Metascores: 41, 50, 55) is a prequel that depicts the first experiment in allowing citizens 12 hours of lawlessness. (Hint: It doesn't go smoothly.) Marisa Tomei is the biggest name in the cast assembled by director Gerard McMurray (Burning Sands).

PosterAnt-Man and the Wasp Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
68

July 6
The first sequel to the 2015 Marvel film Ant-Man returns director Peyton Reed and stars Paul Rudd, Evangeline Lilly, and Michael Peña and adds Laurence Fishburne, Michelle Pfeiffer, Walton Goggins, and Randall Park.

PosterSkyscraper Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
48

July 13
It wouldn't be summer without a Dwayne Johnson action film. Written and directed by Rawson Thurber (who previously teamed with The Rock for Central Intelligence), Skyscraper is not technically a remake of '70s disaster flick The Towering Inferno despite sharing a basic premise: the world's tallest building is on fire. In this case, the flames are part of a terrorist attack, but Johnson's former FBI agent is on hand to save the day.

PosterThe Equalizer 2 Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
50

July 20
Director Antoine Fuqua and star Denzel Washington return for a sequel to their surprise 2014 hit The Equalizer, itself an adaptation of the 1980s television series. Pedro Pascal, Melissa Leo, and Bill Pullman also star. Sony has already shifted the film's release date three times.

PosterMamma Mia! Here We Go Again Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
45

July 20
The second film in the Abba musical franchise arrives a decade after its predecessor. This time it's not adapted from a stage production, though it does feature a Greek island setting and plenty of Abba hits. Cher joins returning stars Meryl Streep, Amanda Seyfried, Pierce Brosnan, Christine Baranski, and Dominic Cooper.

PosterMission: Impossible - Fallout Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
71

July 27
Tom Cruise's sixth Mission: Impossible film returns director Christopher McQuarrie, whose many Cruise collaborations include the previous M:I film, Rogue Nation, as well as co-stars Simon Pegg, Rebecca Ferguson, and Ving Rhames. Newcomers include Angela Bassett and Henry Cavill.

PosterThe Darkest Minds Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
61

August 3
The first live-action film from director Jennifer Yuh (best known for her work on the Kung Fu Panda franchise) blends two common genres--the teen coming-of-age drama and the superhero action film--for an adaptation of the YA book series by Alexandra Bracken that is set in a world where a pandemic has wiped out nearly all of the planet's children and teens. Amandla Stenberg (The Hunger Games) stars.

PosterChristopher Robin Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
69

August 3
Not to be confused with last year's disappointing biopic Goodbye Christopher Robin, Disney's mostly live-action family film stars Ewan McGregor as the title character. All grown up with a job and a family, Christopher encounters his childhood friend Winnie the Pooh and rediscovers the joys of life. Marc Forster (Finding Neverland, World War Z) directs a cast that also features Hayley Atwell and the voices of Jim Cummings, Chris O’Dowd, and Toby Jones.

PosterMile 22

Predicted Actual
62

August 3
Director Peter Berg's fourth straight collaboration with star Mark Wahlberg (following 2016's Patriots Day) finds the latter playing a CIA agent in Indonesia. He's charged with transporting a targeted informant to an airport from the city center 22 miles away. The action film also stars John Malkovich and Ronda Rousey.

PosterThe Spy Who Dumped Me Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
45

August 3
This female-centered action-comedy stars Mila Kunis and Kate McKinnon as best friends who are pulled into an international conspiracy when one’s ex-boyfriend (Justin Theroux) reveals that he’s a spy being hunted by deadly assassins. As they go on the run through Europe, the pair must come up with a plan to save the world.

PosterThe Meg Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
43

August 10
When an incomprehensibly massive (even more so in the IMAX version) prehistoric shark threatens the crew of a deep-sea scientific mission, Jason Statham's former Navy captain must save the day. This action-thriller is based on a 1997 book by Steve Alten and comes from director Jon Turteltaub (National Treasure).

Captive State

Predicted Actual
69

August 17
The latest sci-fi thriller from Rupert Wyatt (Rise of the Planet of the Apes) is set in a divided Chicago neighborhood a decade after an alien occupation pitted neighbor against neighbor--some as alien collaborators, some as dissidents. John Goodman, Vera Farmiga, Ashton Sanders, and Jonathan Majors star.

PosterThe Happytime Murders

Predicted Actual
67

August 17
This is not your typical Muppet movie. (One key sign: a likely R rating.) The latest from Jim Henson's son Brian Henson (The Muppet Christmas Carol) is an edgy, puppet-filled spoof of the film noir genre in which two L.A. cops (one human, one felt) team up to end a killing spree in which the cast members of a beloved children's puppet series are being targeted. Melissa McCarthy, Elizabeth Banks, Maya Rudolph, and Joel McHale star.

Three Seconds

Predicted Actual
60

August 17
It's either the world's shortest movie, or a British adaptation of a best-selling Swedish crime novel about a reformed criminal whose work as an undercover FBI informant forces him back into the prison where he was once held. Joel Kinnaman, Rosamund Pike, Common, Ana de Armas, and Clive Owen star for director Andrea Di Stefano (Escobar: Paradise Lost).

Replicas Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
55

August 24
Directed (but not written) by Jeffrey Nachmanoff (screenwriter of The Day After Tomorrow and The Tourist), this sci-fi thriller stars Keanu Reeves as a scientist who won't let the laws of society (or science) stand in his way as he seeks to bring his family back to life after they perish in a car accident. Alice Eve and Thomas Middleditch also star.

PosterSlender Man Watch trailer(s)

Predicted Actual
34

August 24
Sony's attempt to capitalize on a nearly decade-old meme (which led to a horrific real-life incident in 2014) is this low-budget scarefest directed by Sylvain White (Stomp the Yard).


Our 30th film is no longer a summer release (its August 17 release date was recently moved back to September 14), but since the predictions were already made, here is the result:

White Boy Rick

Predicted Actual
70

August 17 September 14
Based on the true story of Richard Wershe Jr. (aka "White Boy Rick"), who at age 14 became the youngest FBI informant in history, this 1980s-set Detroit crime drama surrounds young newcomer Richie Merritt with a strong cast led by Matthew McConaughey, Jennifer Jason Leigh, Rory Cochrane, Piper Laurie, Bruce Dern, Bel Powley, and Brian Tyree Henry. Yann Demange ('71) directs.

 

Comments (4)

  • jpgtonioli  

    I miss Teen TItans Go! to the Movie here

  • eli_fjr  

    Looks good.

  • limelight  

    You gotta add a "my score" so i can compare what i rated it against what the average number and the final outcome.

  • FleshWorld  

    Love this feature - keep doing it!

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